My per-New Year thoughts
Two weeks ago, we hosted a sort of Christmas party for friends at our place. “Sort of”, because frankly speaking, the approaching Christmas Day was not really the main reason for this party at all. However, since almost every social event in Australia starting from mid-November tends to be Christmas related, it was tempting for me to call the party this way. After all, we CAN say “Merry Christmas” again today, can’t we?
After a few drinks and mini-speeches, the general mood of my guests became rather festive. I felt that it would be nice saying a few words as well about the year 2016. It has been a rather turbulent year, but somehow simultaneously spirit lifting at the same time. Thus, after some thinking, I raised my glass and toasted “for a refreshing 2016, which has brought us the new hope!” I thought that people around me were quite pleased either with my drinking wish or with an opportunity to have another glass of wine or something stronger. At least I could not hear any disapproving or even neutral remarks – everyone seemed to agree rather genuinely… This made it even more surprising for me to read quite a few articles in Australian and international newspapers the next week, which argued the completely opposite point of view. To save my readers their time I will only mention two of the most memorable of them below.
The first one was an interview of Michelle Obama on the Oprah Winfrey show, where she stated that recent events of 2016 had taken away all hope for most of American people, if not for the whole world. Presumably, this mysteriously missing hope had been previously given to people by her husband Barak. Or maybe by his predecessor Bill… Or perhaps by some other important American politician on their teams, although I should note, that personally I have never received anything even remotely similar to hope from these particular folks.
The tone of the second article was even more extreme. Francis Fukuyama, the author of once famous blockbuster “The End of History and the Last Man” (1992), had a true nervous breakdown and announced in tears that, in his opinion, “the USA is about to fail as a state” (the baseline scenario). Even worse, he gravely feared, that the whole “world liberal order will be dismantled soon” and replaced with “medieval nationalism” and triumphant anti-progressive forces in power everywhere (the worst-case scenario)… Wow! What a remarkable forecast! I should say that I am almost impressed. But after such an outcry of the self-proclaimed “prophets of true humanity”, I cannot stay quiet and feel that I need to at least make an attempt in explaining to all deeply disappointed citizens of our world why there are myriads of people around who feel rather differently. So can I have your attention for just another couple of minutes, please?
I have never been a fan of Fukuyama’s “The End of History” concept. Moreover, I could never agree with its core Russophobic and extremely naïve view that “the USSR was the last fortress of Evil on a turbulent, but eventually triumphant path of Good on our planet” and that “the collapse of the Soviet Union gave the world a unique chance of successfully building a perfect global society of Justice and Democracy”. I also do not find Fukuyama’s calls for the forceful “export of democracy” into ex-communist and third world countries particularly new. As far as I remember, Leo Trotsky was suggesting something very similar well back in 1920s. It was even more surprising for me to observe for decades how leaders of Western powers continued to adopt more and more elements of Fukuyama’s extremist roadmap. Bombing, military interventions, forceful regime changes – all these “export of democracy” methods somehow became the preferred tools of trade for quite a few leaders of the “Free World”… In addition, the ultimate dream of Francis Fukuyama – a global society with totally open borders and unrestricted movement of people – is also a dangerous illusion. This dream looks good on paper (especially for large employers and the super-rich in need of cheap unqualified workers). However, it leads to the ever accelerating growth of immigration and acceptance of hordes of refugees (generated by “export of democracy” wars), which sooner or later result in the erosion of living standards and massive culture clash issues in the countries which take these excessive migrant inflows. For me this is hardly unexpected: imagine what would happen if you take all 7.5 billion people living on our planet now (all wealthy and ALL poor, all smart and ALL not so smart and so on) and mix them to create a uniform single society. Do you really believe that such a risky social experiment will result in a community where most people will quickly become wealthy and clever? You must be dreaming then! In my opinion, the most likely outcome would be a society similar to the one in the movie “Elysium” (2013) directed by Neill Blomkamp: everyone on Earth lives in impoverished and deteriorated conditions and the super-rich have fled into a luxurious space habitat called “Elysium”, which orbits the Earth peacefully. Just think, maybe magnates of today can foresee this scenario quite well too. Perhaps their desire to have “Elysium”-like space stations (for their and their ancestors’ future escapes) is the core reason for the investment of hundreds of billions of dollars into the ventures of “creative personalities” like Elon Musk?
Now let us talk about the positive things brought to us by the year 2016. I am glad to see one well-known Noble Peace Prize winner being so comprehensively outplayed both in the USA itself and on international level. Let me remind you, that it was exactly this person who insisted just over a year ago that “Russia is among three main threats for the progressive humanity” (placing it somewhere between “Ebola virus and ISIS terrorists”, if I recall correctly). I am also glad to see his expected successor 100% politically dead now, despite all massive support and funding which she received from USA elites and the establishment. I am extremely happy to see that the “uniform society without borders” is now delayed indefinitely, and the previously anticipated “end of history” is pretty much negated. I hope that from now on citizens of independent states will have a lot more say in determining of exactly how many new migrants and refugees they would like to see coming into their countries – Britain has given us an encouraging example that this is quite possible. In addition, I really hope that from now on, we, and more importantly our children and grandchildren, can again make history and contribute to better future of our OWN NATIONS. Moreover, we can do it with a rightful respect to all national and cultural traditions and without denying or shaming our “undemocratic” past or “politically incorrect” customs for the sake of illusive “unified progressive humanity” or the equally illusive “ultimate reconciliation of everyone with everyone”. Recent dramatic change of public opinion in favour of these ideas makes me a lot happier and more optimistic about the future.
Of course, I fully realise how shaky the achievements of 2016 are. The super-rich and other perverted puppet masters of our crazy world may and most likely will try to trick us once again by either ignoring the will of the majority or only allowing a tiny bit of change initially and then reversing it back soon after. Thus, we should not be relaxed, but well prepared for such a scenario in 2017. But even though the year 2016 has not delivered us any guarantees for a REAL long term change, it has given us one new massive thing – a HOPE for such a change, “the New Hope”, which I suggested to my friends to drink for at my Christmas party. Please, allow me to raise my glass again, now with you, and to repeat my wish:
For the New Hope of 2016 and let us all have even better 2017!
P.S. Links to “No Hope” articles which I have mentioned above